Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.476951 1.731097 1.995883 2.290770 2.608507 2.939183 3.307988
2024-12-22 1.079062 1.428496 1.815295 2.268454 2.778627 3.329787 3.965035
2024-12-29 0.886280 1.283673 1.742793 2.298862 2.942077 3.652350 4.486218
2025-01-05 0.727302 1.154269 1.668670 2.311118 3.072224 3.928488 4.949189
2025-01-12 0.583190 1.020195 1.569782 2.276864 3.133316 4.113110 5.296753
2025-01-19 0.529406 0.995020 1.598763 2.391332 3.365380 4.491691 5.863769
2025-01-26 0.487331 0.979117 1.634654 2.510434 3.600098 4.871375 6.430731
2025-02-02 0.456624 0.974653 1.682241 2.641843 3.848178 5.265947 7.014756
2025-02-09 0.436745 0.982923 1.744706 2.790763 4.116904 5.684728 7.627301
2025-02-16 0.398482 0.958386 1.759537 2.876082 4.305578 6.007176 8.126312
2025-02-23 0.346688 0.906046 1.731646 2.902444 4.418426 6.236982 8.514801
2025-03-02 0.270236 0.801894 1.623136 2.816440 4.385530 6.287384 8.687671
2025-03-09 0.202234 0.703449 1.520420 2.740146 4.370820 6.369045 8.910944
2025-03-16 0.153634 0.630375 1.449232 2.702537 4.402951 6.506530 9.200613
2025-03-23 0.127177 0.596156 1.434368 2.740492 4.530982 6.760580 9.629293
2025-03-30 0.100277 0.553887 1.402950 2.752495 4.623313 6.969317 10.002597
2025-04-06 0.071136 0.495741 1.340012 2.715232 4.647447 7.090613 10.267666
2025-04-13 0.066687 0.503283 1.388444 2.841210 4.890699 7.488587 10.872592
2025-04-20 0.063209 0.512858 1.440237 2.972273 5.141138 7.896170 11.490067
2025-04-27 0.061458 0.527348 1.500702 3.116498 5.409823 8.327476 12.137543
2025-05-04 0.061853 0.548710 1.573569 3.279636 5.704665 8.792628 12.827546
2025-05-11 0.054978 0.544452 1.600064 3.372941 5.904644 9.137430 13.369585
2025-05-18 0.042993 0.517932 1.584543 3.401752 6.016049 9.369076 13.771769